STOCK PICKS

5 stocks every quarter.

Picked from 74 curated investors, US House disclosures, and contrarian signal. One free pick per quarter. Full rationale and all five picks for Pro members.

5
picks on record
Return tracking begins with Q2 2026.
Q2 2026 · released Jun 25, 2026 Avg. return: +4.6%  / S&P 500: +3.2%

The 5 picks for Q2 2026.

#1

APPLE INC

AAPL
Smart-money + Congress
34 investors · 9 House buyers · $277.52 release · +11.2% vs S&P +3.2%
Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Nine House members disclosed purchases of Apple Inc. (AAPL), which also attracted 34 curated institutional investors across multiple independent screening criteria.

Full analysis

Apple appears in this quarter's picks primarily because of an overlap signal — meaning the stock shows up across multiple independent screening criteria simultaneously, not just one isolated metric. When a name clears several filters at once, it tends to warrant closer attention regardless of where one ultimately lands on valuation.

The institutional footprint here is notable. Thirty-four curated fund managers currently hold AAPL, and across those portfolios the average weight sits at 2.72%. That figure is meaningful context. A 2.72% average weight suggests genuine conviction rather than a token position, yet it stops well short of the concentrated bets that sometimes indicate a crowded trade nearing exhaustion. The breadth of that holder base across our curated universe adds a layer of corroboration to what the overlap signal is already flagging.

An additional data point worth noting: nine members of Congress disclosed purchases of AAPL within the past 365 days. Congressional trading disclosures are imperfect signals — timing is often delayed, and motivations are opaque — but nine separate buyers over a rolling year is a non-trivial cluster. We flag it for transparency rather than assign it outsized weight.

Where we urge caution: Apple's size means it anchors countless passive and active portfolios simply by default, making it difficult to isolate whether the holder count reflects genuine forward conviction or structural inertia. The stock also carries meaningful exposure to U.S.-China trade tensions, given its manufacturing concentration and the revenue it derives from Greater China. Any deterioration there could pressure both earnings and sentiment quickly.

Nothing here constitutes investment advice, and overlap signals can and do produce false positives. What this represents is a confluence of evidence — institutional positioning, a multi-filter signal, and congressional activity — that we believed merited inclusion and honest scrutiny in Q2 2026.

Selected investors: Warren Buffett, Ray Dalio, Andreas Halvorsen

Congressional figures reflect House disclosures.

View AAPL stock page →
#2

HOME DEPOT INC

HD
Smart-money + Congress
23 investors · 7 House buyers · $343.27 release · +4.3% vs S&P +3.2%
Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Seven House members disclosed purchases of Home Depot as 23 tracked institutional investors simultaneously held positions in HD.

Full analysis

Home Depot earns a place in our Q2 2026 watchlist primarily because of an overlap signal — meaning institutional and political capital are moving in the same direction at the same time, which historically warrants a closer look rather than a dismissal.

On the institutional side, 23 curated fund managers currently hold HD, with an average portfolio weight of 0.37% across that group. That figure is modest by absolute measure, suggesting these are not concentrated conviction bets but rather considered, measured allocations. The breadth of 23 distinct holders matters here more than the weight — it indicates a spread of independent decision-makers arriving at similar conclusions, not a single crowded trade amplified by momentum chasers.

What sharpens the overlap signal is the congressional activity. Seven members of Congress purchased HD shares within the past 365 days. We report this not as an endorsement of that behavior, but because legislative buying patterns, particularly when clustered around a single name, have occasionally preceded favorable regulatory or infrastructure-related tailwinds. Housing-adjacent spending has remained a recurring topic on Capitol Hill, and Home Depot sits squarely in that orbit.

That said, counter-evidence deserves equal weight. The housing market remains under pressure from elevated mortgage rates, and consumer spending on big-ticket home improvement projects has shown clear signs of softening. A prolonged freeze in home sales typically reduces renovation activity, which is core to HD's revenue thesis. The 0.37% average portfolio weight also tells us these managers are not exactly betting the house, so to speak.

We are not telling you what to do with this information. What the overlap pattern does is flag a name where separate categories of informed actors are converging. Whether that convergence proves meaningful in Q2 2026 depends on conditions none of us can fully predict.

Congressional figures reflect House disclosures.

View HD stock page →
#3

BANK AMERICA CORP

BAC
Contrarian signal
25 investors · $58.09 release · +1.1% vs S&P +3.2%
Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Twenty-five long-term institutional holders currently back BAC, reflecting a contrarian divergence between conviction and prevailing market sentiment.

Full analysis

Bank of America earns its place on our Q2 2026 list through a contrarian signal — the kind of pattern that surfaces when institutional interest diverges meaningfully from prevailing sentiment or price action. That divergence, rather than momentum, is what drew our attention here.

The data shows 25 curated fund managers currently holding BAC, with an average portfolio weight of 2.41% across those holders. That is not a trivial allocation. When managers of this caliber assign that kind of weight to a single financial stock, it suggests a considered position rather than a casual holding. Four of those 25 are classified as long-term-style holders, which implies some portion of this group is not trading around quarterly noise but building exposure with a longer horizon in mind.

What makes this a contrarian pick rather than a consensus one is precisely what gives us pause as well. Congressional buying activity over the past 365 days sits at zero — not a single purchase among the members we track. That absence does not invalidate the thesis, but it does suggest the political and regulatory tailwinds that sometimes accompany financial sector enthusiasm are not present here. Readers should weigh that carefully.

The banking environment heading into mid-2026 carries genuine risks: net interest margin pressure depending on rate trajectory, credit quality questions in commercial real estate, and ongoing regulatory scrutiny of large institutions. BAC is not insulated from any of those.

What the contrarian signal tells us is that institutional money has quietly accumulated a position while broader enthusiasm has been muted. Whether that reflects foresight or early conviction that has yet to pay off, we cannot say. What we can say is that 25 holders averaging 2.41% weight in a large-cap bank stock, four of them long-term oriented, met our threshold for inclusion. We thought that was worth flagging.

Selected investors: Charlie Munger, Warren Buffett, Richard Pzena
View BAC stock page →
#4

AMAZON COM INC

AMZN
Cross-style consensus
38 investors · $228.64 release · +6.1% vs S&P +3.2%
Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Thirty-eight curated managers hold Amazon, reflecting broad cross-style consensus accumulation that earned it a Q2 2026 pick.

Full analysis

Amazon earned a place in the Q2 2026 edition through a consensus signal — meaning the data showed broad, consistent accumulation across our curated manager universe rather than a concentrated bet by a handful of outliers. That distinction matters. Thirty-eight tracked fund managers currently hold the position, and they represent three distinct investment styles, suggesting the conviction here is not the product of a single narrative or sector rotation trade. When growth-oriented managers and more value-conscious allocators arrive at the same holding independently, it tends to reflect something durable in the underlying business rather than momentum chasing.

The average portfolio weight across those 38 holders sits at 3.84%. That is a meaningful allocation — large enough to indicate genuine conviction, not a token position — yet measured enough to suggest these managers are not making an unconstrained macro bet. It reflects a calibrated view.

One piece of data worth noting honestly: zero members of Congress purchased shares in the past 365 days. Congressional trading patterns are an imperfect and often noisy signal, but their absence here is neither alarming nor particularly informative. We flag it because we flag all data points, not because it changes our read on the institutional picture.

What we cannot tell you is whether Amazon's current valuation fully prices in execution risk across its cloud, advertising, and logistics segments. Margin expansion at AWS has drawn attention, but regulatory scrutiny in multiple geographies remains a live concern, and capital expenditure commitments are substantial. The consensus signal reflects where professional money has moved, not a guarantee of where it will go.

We include this pick because the pattern across 38 managers and three distinct styles is coherent and statistically uncommon. Readers should weigh it accordingly, alongside their own research and circumstances.

Selected investors: Dan Loeb, Bill Ackman, David Tepper
View AMZN stock page →
#5

NVIDIA Corp

NVDA
Cross-style consensus
37 investors · $194.23 release · +0.3% vs S&P +3.2%
Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Thirty-seven curated managers across multiple investment styles have established meaningful, broad-based positions in NVIDIA Corp (NVDA) this quarter.

Full analysis

NVIDIA earns its place on our Q2 2026 list through a consensus signal — the pattern that fires when a ticker draws meaningful, broad-based accumulation across our curated manager universe rather than concentration among a narrow cohort. Thirty-seven distinct fund managers in our tracked group currently hold the position, and those holders span three separate investment styles. That cross-style agreement is what animates the consensus designation. When growth-oriented managers and more valuation-sensitive allocators arrive at the same name independently, the overlap is worth noting.

The average portfolio weight across all 37 holders sits at 2.85%. That figure is neither trivial nor extreme. It suggests genuine conviction without the kind of top-of-book concentration that typically signals a crowded, late-cycle pile-in. Managers are treating this as a core-sized position, not a satellite bet.

Zero congressional purchases in the past 365 days is a data point we flag without dramatizing it. Congressional buying can sometimes serve as a secondary sentiment signal, but its absence here does not undercut the institutional picture — it simply means that particular secondary layer is absent.

We do not have long-term-style holder data broken out in this cycle's pull, and we will not pretend otherwise. That gap means we cannot speak to how much of the 37-manager base is built on multi-year conviction versus shorter-duration positioning.

The risks are real and worth naming. NVIDIA trades at valuations that embed aggressive forward expectations. Any deceleration in data center spending or shift in AI chip procurement could reset those expectations sharply. Concentration in a single end-market remains a structural vulnerability.

We surface this pick because the data pattern is clear. What investors do with that information is their own decision, informed by their own circumstances.

Selected investors: Chase Coleman, David Tepper, Philippe Laffont
View NVDA stock page →

Congressional figures reflect House disclosures only. Senate data is not included. Disclosed purchases are provided for transparency and are not a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

Past performance is not indicative of future results. Returns are calculated from the release date of each issue and do not account for transaction costs or taxes.